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Archive for January, 2009

Sen Isakson: Fixing Housing Crisis Key To Economic Recovery

Posted by Doug Quance on January 27th, 2009

WASHINGTON - U.S. Senator Johnny Isakson, R-Ga., spoke on the Senate floor last week and argued that Congress must take steps to jump-start housing demand in order to boost the slumping economy. On Jan.15, Isakson introduced the Fix Housing First Homebuyer Tax Credit Act to expand the homebuyer tax credit passed by Congress last year.

The text of Isakson’s remarks is below:

                                                
"Madam President, to a certain extent I wish to follow up precisely on the remarks the Senator from Washington made at the end of her speech.

"I, too, have been disappointed with the deployment of the first half of the TARP money, and I supported that deployment in the hopes that it would stabilize the marketplace, ease credit for our customers, and help the housing market. While it probably did stabilize the banking system, there has yet to be a loosening of credit and there has yet to be a recovery of the housing market.

"Looking ahead, we continue to look at suggestions that throw money at the problem rather than getting to the root cause of the problem. In fact, with the best of intentions, I think people are struggling to meet the symptoms of a serious illness rather than treat the illness. I wish to direct my remarks tonight to that illness.

"The illness, as the Senator from Washington referred to, is the collapse of the U.S. housing market which began in the last quarter of 2007. In the first quarter of 2008, in January, I introduced a housing tax credit of up to $15,000 for the purchase of any house that was standing vacant or in foreclosure. I did it for a couple of reasons. No. 1, I was in the real estate business for 33 years, and I was in it in 1974, a year in which we had a housing collapse worse than the current situation. While many people think this one is bad, it is not as bad as 1974.

"In December of 1974, there was a three-year supply of unsold, standing new houses in the United States of America. That is a catastrophic inventory. We currently have a supply of about 11 to 13 months, depending on the State. That is not a good market, but it is not 36 months, which is a horrible market.

"President Gerald Ford, a Republican, and a Democratic Congress, came together and passed a $2,000 tax credit to any family who bought and occupied one of those standing homes. Within 1 year’s time, which was the limited time of the tax credit, two-thirds of the housing inventory on the market was sold, values stopped declining and started improving, and we had a stabilization of our economy, the end of a recessionary period, and the beginning of prosperity.

"I come here tonight because about an hour and a half ago I dropped a bill known as Fix Housing First, an effort for me and others in this body to rekindle that debate of last January. Now, last year, we did pass a housing tax credit, but it was a now-you-see-it/now-you-don’t approach. It was a first-time home buyer credit of $7,500 that was a refundable loan, interest free, because over 15 years you would pay the credit back to the Government in the form of income taxes. It was an incentive, but it was weak. It was not bold.

"The tax credit we introduced last year was scored by CBO at $11.4 billion, and Finance believed at that time–and maybe rightfully so–that was too big a price to pay and too expensive. Well, because we didn’t do it, in October of this year, we approved $750 billion to address the symptoms of the problem, which is the failure of the housing market.

"I had the privilege yesterday of meeting with some of President-elect Obama’s team, including Rahm Emanuel, Dr. Summers, and others, and told them precisely what I am saying on the floor of the Senate today; that is, I hope they will embrace this concept of incentivizing the housing market so we can stabilize values, stop the continuing erosion of equity, and begin to reflate–not inflate but reflate–the housing market.

"In America today, 20 percent of the houses are underwater, meaning there is more owed on them than they are worth. That means equity lines of credit with our banks are in default. It means students going to college are losing the money their parents had for tuition. It means there is not enough liquidity in households anymore or credit availability to make purchases of durable goods that are important to our system, and our system is continuing to feed in a downward spiral on the illiquidity, the lack of equity, and the lack of a marketplace for housing.

"I was in this business for a long time, and I called 10 people who worked for me a number of years ago last weekend in Atlanta. I asked them, I said: What is going on in the market? Tell me what the buyers are saying or are there any buyers? I talked to a lady by the name of Glennis Beacham.

"She said: Johnny, I had nine people come to my open house last weekend, and that is a good crowd for an open house in this marketplace. Every one of them had the money and they wanted to buy, but they were looking for two things: a short sale, which means somebody selling their house for less than is owed on it and getting a discount from the lender, which means it is a downward price or they are looking for somebody whose house is going into foreclosure that they think they can steal. They don’t want to even make an offer on the 80 percent of people’s houses in this country who are making their payments, aren’t in default, aren’t in foreclosure, but might need to sell. So the marketplace has died.

"Now, Fix Housing First proposes the following: Repeal the $7,500 tax credit we passed last year, which is not being used, by the way. That credit has not been used to any extent whatsoever. Replace it with a tax credit that will go from $10,000 to $22,000 depending on the formula. It would be a monetizeable tax credit. What that means is this: you make the tax credit good for this year–January 1 through December 31 of 2009–but you allow the monetization or the claiming of that credit against the 2008 income taxes of that family. The 2008 income taxes come due in April of this year, the 15th. We all know that. By allowing the credit to be taken against 2008 income taxes, you can monetize that money at the closing, use it as a part of the down payment, and immediately incentivize the marketplace. Is that a little costly? Sure. Is it something we would rather not do? Probably. But what are we going to do? Watch the marketplace go down to where four out of every five houses are underwater? Watch sales go down to where there is no viable housing market in this country? It has not stopped spiraling. It is continuing, and everything feeds off of it.

"I don’t wish to belabor this point, but I wish to talk for the American people, the people of Georgia. The community bankers are hamstrung right now. Most of their investments are in real estate, residential construction, and acquisition and development loans. With no marketplace to buy the lots or buy the houses, they have no cash flow coming in to service the loans. They are deteriorating in terms of their value. Americans who have been transferred who are making their payments, who have a viable house, who have to sell it to move to the next city of choice, there is no marketplace to buy that house, so that is stagnating.

"Consumer products, take carpets, for example. The State of Georgia, the County of Whitfieldthe City of Dalton produces about 85 percent of the domestic carpet in the United States of America. It is shut down. The mills are shut down. Why? People aren’t recarpeting. They aren’t redoing their houses. New houses aren’t selling. The market is gone. I could go on and on with durable products made in the United States of America whose industries are now in trouble because the housing market has taken a severe hit over a protracted period of time.

"So my plea to the President-elect, to my friends on both sides of the aisle, to the Members of the United States House of Representatives, as we are deploying countless billions of dollars to react to problems that are manifesting because of a failed housing market and mistakes that were made in the past, let’s put some money out there to incentivize Mr. and Ms. America who want the American dream to buy a home, to buy one for their family, occupy it as their residence, and give them a tax credit for doing it. It is a small price for the Government to pay to begin to restore the industry that got us to where we are and will lead us out of these dangerous and dark times.

"So I come tonight on behalf of the homeowners of the Presiding Officer’s State of Florida and mine, the community bankers, the realtors, the homebuilders, the fix-it people, the durable goods producers, the building supply makers, the landscapers–every job that has been lost and gone, in some cases forever, because the housing market in this country has collapsed.

"We have learned our lesson for loose underwriting. We have learned our lesson from loaning money to people who weren’t qualified to borrow. We have paid a terrible price for that lesson, both the country and the people. It is time for us to do what we know we should have done: have quality underwriting, available credit, but have accountability in our lending system, make sure values are appraised right, underwriting is done right, and credit is available but people are qualified. If we can do that and incentivize people to come back because of the tax credit, we can solve this problem.

"I don’t want to oversimplify the gravity of the problem we face, but the housing market led us in; the housing market will lead us out. It is time for us to fix housing first. Our failure to do so will cost us a lot more than $700 billion of our taxpayers’ money, and countless Americans who shouldn’t will lose their homes, lose their jobs, and lose their faith in the greatest country on the face of this Earth.

"I ask my colleagues to study this recommendation. I hope the President-elect will embrace it. I hope, quickly, we can fix housing first in the United States of America." 

As a Georgia resident and fellow real estate broker, I must agree with Sen. Isakson. Our economic troubles trace back to improper lending and the resulting subsequent foreclosures - and  we must stabilize the housing market for the economy to recover. I encourage all citizens to write or call their Senators and Representatives to voice their support for Sen. Isakson’s proposed legislation.


As always, if you have any questions regarding real estate in the greater Atlanta area, feel free to contact me here.

"There’s A Sucker Born Every Minute" - David Hannum

During the real estate boom, it was fairly easy to make money in Atlanta real estate - even as a novice. You could buy a property - pay too much for it - grossly underestimate the repairs - and still be able to break even, if not make a few bucks.

That was then - and this is now.

As an investor buying in today’s market, you have to not only be very certain of a property’s value before you make the offer - you must be fairly confident of your estimated repairs and holding time, as well.

I like to check in with some of the so-called "wholesalers" who find distressed properties and flip them to rehabbers and landlords. While there are many legitimate wholesalers in Atlanta, there are some that I find quite questionable.

This morning, I visited one that had several properties displayed for sale - and I nearly fell off my chair in laughter. One of the properties was a home listed for $175K stating that NO repairs were needed - and there was $50-70K equity in the property.

The first question that came to my mind is - if the property didn’t need any repairs… why not retail it and keep the profits?

Needing a further chuckle - I pull the tax record to see that the seller bought the property nearly two years ago for $97,500… which is a long time to hold a wholesale property. The original loan was for $133,500 - apparently from a hard money lender - and I notice that the wholesaler lost the property to foreclosure in February last year. 

The foreclosing lender promptly put the property up for sale at a list price of $140K… and dropped it to $120K by the end of the 90 day listing. It was listed with another agent for $178K and dropped  to $120K in less than two months when the listing was withdrawn from the MLS. The next agent listed it at $129,900 and has since dropped it to its current asking price of $89,900 - with a private remark that states: "the plumbing and a/c unit will be installed with an accepted offer". I’m not kidding.

Now call me a skeptic if you want - but when a listing states that the property has been completely renovated, but all 12 of the images in the MLS are exterior pictures… I have a reason to be suspicious. (In all fairness, the current listing DOES have five interior pictures, albeit lousy ones.)

So we have a property that a so-called experienced wholesaler bought for too much money… using money from whom we would presume to be an experienced hard money lender… that is now listed for less money renovated than it cost to purchase as a foreclosure in the first place. Don’t forget that it still needs some plumbing and air conditioning.

Did I mention that this "wholesaler" never listed the property with a real estate broker? Perhaps if he did - he might have been able to dig himself out of this mess two years ago.

I am familiar with another property this particular wholesaler flipped in a back-to-back closing to a rehabber a few years ago. The wholesaler made $12K on a $85K deal - and if the rehabber had bothered to either use an agent - or get on the Internet - he would have realized that the wholesaler didn’t own the property… and he could have saved the $12K he overpaid for it.

This rehabber added a bathroom - knocked out a wall - totally renovated the kitchen - and put it on the market for too much money. Two years later - you guessed it - it’s still for sale.

If you are considering purchasing a property, be sure you understand the true value of the property you wish to purchase - even if you intend to purchase the property for your personal residence. Make sure you know the prices that other comparable homes in the area have sold for in the last six months - and preferably in the last three months.

Times of economic doom and gloom can be an excellent time to take advantage of the depressed housing market - but do so armed with some knowledge. This is a good time for the smart home buyer who plans to live in the property - but it can be a very dangerous time for the inexperienced investor.


As always, if you have any questions regarding real estate in the greater Atlanta area, feel free to contact me here.

Pricing Is The Key Factor To Your Successful Atlanta Short Sale

Posted by Doug Quance on January 21st, 2009

Inexperienced Agents Fail To Understand Short Sale Pricing

Each week, as I look at the current Atlanta real estate market, I find more and more short sale properties that are ending in foreclosure. The cause of these failures is often easy to detect.

First, in all fairness, I must confess that in the past I have bungled my share of short sales. Lenders have a method to their madness that is often at odds with logic - and deals that should have been accepted were not because I lacked the skills to effectively present the offer. Learning how to properly conduct a successful short sale became an obsession, and I have since learned many of the idiosyncracies of this part of the real estate business.

A short sale is very similar to any other sale in that a seller conveys the property over to a ready, willing, and able buyer. The sale takes longer - sometimes eight weeks or more - and because there are additional approvals needed from the seller’s lender, a binding agreement can take several weeks to obtain.

Short sales are also similar to any other sale in that the property is competing against many other properties for very few buyers. In fact, short sale properties have to be MORE aggressively priced because of the length of time to obtain an agreement and subsequent sale can actually shrink the buyer pool.

How To Properly Price A Short Sale Property

Since all real estate is unique - and each homeowner and lender have their individual characteristics - I can’t simply give you a generic formula that you can use to properly price your Atlanta short sale. It’s just not that simple.

This morning, I pulled up several examples of how NOT to price a short sale. In one case, the home was purchased for $254K in Feb 2005 with a $242K conventional loan. A second mortgage was added a year later in the amount of $50K. The comps supported the initial list price of $319K.

Since the home was listed while the seller was in default, the list price should have been reduced every two weeks by at least 5% (if not 10%) until an offer was obtained - but that did not happen. They held that $319K list price right up to the auction.

I don’t find any fault with the original list price, as it appears that it could have been fair market value - but the failure to lower the price as the foreclosure neared is quite puzzling. If I had consulted with this agent, I would have recommended that she continue to drop the price until we reached the minimum I felt comfortable that I could negotiate with the lenders - which in this case could have possibly have been as low as $230K - or even lower - depending upon the condition of the property.

I would have never left the list price at $319K. Never.

A properly presented offer will usually stop a foreclosure - even if only temporarily. Proper pricing in this case might have resulted in an offer  - and that offer would have bought the homeowner a little more time to plan, pack, save and move.

So what is the right price? Start with the highest price the property could sell for (fair market value) and then systematically drop the price until you get an offer - right down to the minimum that the lender could be expected to accept.

What price will the lender accept? Generally speaking, the lenders will usually accept an offer that nets them more than they expect to net if they foreclose - which means that the listing agent (or negotiator) must be able to provide the analysis that leads the lender to that decision. Without the proper analysis, an otherwise acceptable deal could be rejected.

The ability to perform this analysis is the key to the successful short sale. It gives the listing agent the tools by which a plan to find a buyer and ultimately stop the foreclosure through short sale can be crafted.

Without it is like driving at night while wearing dark sunglasses.


As always, if you have any questions regarding real estate in the greater Atlanta area, feel free to contact me here.

Time To Take Advantage Of Super Low Atlanta Home Prices

Posted by Doug Quance on January 8th, 2009

Now IS A Great Time To Invest In Atlanta Rental Properties

"There is money in misery," a wise friend once told me. Another said, "Big fortunes are made by those who can figure out where the crowd will be going - and beat them there."

As 2008 has shown us, you must be careful regarding which investment vehicle you use. My father once told me, "When the widows line up around the block at Stein Roe on South Wacker Drive - it’s time to get out of the stock market."

What he was referring to is that when the most unlikely investors are investing - the show is over. It’s time to get out.

The same thing could be said about real estate, as when the uncreditworthy with no money for a down payment were buying - it was time to get out. Hindsight is 20/20.

The other end of that analogy is that when markets crash - and they always crash - that’s when it’s the best time to get in… and 2008 gave us quite the crash in the Atlanta real estate market.

If you are currently renting - it’s time to stop throwing your money away and consider becoming a homeowner. And if you are already a home owner - you might want to consider becoming a landlord.

Why? Because timing is everything - and the time to act is NOW.

In previous posts, I have shown some nicer properties for those who might like to "move up" to a bigger, more expensive home. Today I want to cover the aspect of picking up less expensive properties as rentals.

For example, this property in Lithonia was built in 1989 and was last sold five years ago for $128,100. It is a three bedroom, (four, if you believe the listing agent) two and a half bath home that, according to the tax records, has 1998 square feet in heated living space. It has a two car garage, two story family room, sits on a .17 acre cul-de-sac lot, and is less than two miles from the freeway.

The tax assessment of this property for 2008 is $148,500. The four nearest sold comparables in the last six months average $97,400 with an average 1887 square footage (keep in mind that this property is larger). The tax assessments of all four comps are lower than this property - and the comp with the closest assessed value sold last September for $129,400.

As a foreclosure, it was listed five months ago for $125,000, but a combination of a sluggish housing market coupled with a seasonal lull during the holidays has forced the list price down to only $53,400. This is becoming a great opportunity for either a first-time home buyer or an investor, as the property appears to be in reasonable condition from what we can see in the pictures.

If you bought this home at the current asking price with the seller paying your closing costs; and you put 20% down ($10,680); and financed it for 15 years at an interest rate of  5.875% (which would cost you 2 points) - your monthly principal and interest would be a measly $358. Since current rents on this street are $900-950; this property can supply some serious positive cash flow after a little sprucing up. It is conceivable that this property could pay for itself in as little as 7 years!

As an owner-occupant, if you bought this home at the current asking price with the seller paying your closing costs; and you put 3.5% down ($1869); and financed it for 30 years at a 5% interest rate - your monthly principal and interest would be an even more measly $277! Either way, that’s a lot of house for the money.

This is just one example - you can find many of them using our listings search engine.


As always, if you have any questions regarding real estate in the greater Atlanta area, feel free to contact me here.

How To Avoid Foreclosure In Georgia

Posted by Doug Quance on January 3rd, 2009

Georgia Is A "Fast Track" Foreclosure State - Count On It

When you fall behind on your mortgage, there are only four basic resolutions to your situation:

  • Cure the default - bring your mortgage current
  • Negotiate a loan forbearance or modification
  • Negotiate a short sale
  • Surrender the deed or the lender forecloses

Lets take a quick look at each one.

If you are able to bring your mortgage current, and the circumstances that caused you to fall behind are no longer present - this is the best solution. Your credit rating will suffer a little because you fell behind… but by bringing your mortgage current and making the future payments on time, you can rebuld your credit rating.

If you can not bring your mortgage current - but the  circumstances that caused you to fall behind are no longer present - you might be able to negotiate a loan forbearance or modification. A forbearance allows you to resume making your normal monthly mortgage payments - with an additional partial payment for several months until your delinquency is eliminated.

For example, if you were three months behind, and the bank allowed you to make a payment equal to one and a half payments each month - you would make an extra half a month payment for six months.

A loan modification  would actually change the terms of your mortgage - for example, your deliquency could be added to the back of the loan, extending your mortgage to a later date.

If those options won’t work for you, it’s time to consider a short sale. A short sale occurs when a property is sold and the lender agrees to release their lien for an amount that is less than what is owed - a procedure that just happens to be our specialty. If you truly can not afford to keep your home - chances are that you’re eligible for a short sale.

A good short sale deal is the lesser of two evils to your bank, so as long as a short sale makes more financial sense than a foreclosure - there’s a good chance they will agree NOT to pursue you in the future with a deficiency judgment. On the other hand, if you should let your home go into foreclosure - you can count on them seeking a deficiency judgment.

If you are unable to sell your property by short sale prior to foreclosure, and you only have one lien holder, then you might be able to surrender the deed to the lender in what is called a Deed In Lieu Of Foreclosure. This is a voluntary foreclosure, whereby you are giving the bank immediate control of the property. By surrendering the deed - along with a broom-clean property - you’ll reduce the expenses that the bank will eventually sue you for.

Since you are much better off by avoiding the foreclosure, let me take a moment to describe how we can help. We’ll first assess your current situation and your desires. Based upon our assessment, we’ll determine the best way to help. We may refer you to a law firm that specializes in loan modifications. We may bring in an investor to place an immediate offer to stop the foreclosure - or initiate the process. There are several options that can all accomplish the same goal of helping you avoid foreclosure through a short sale.

To get started with your assessment, call our Finance Specialist Cindy McDanel at 770-572-7002 and tell her about your particular situation.


As always, if you have any questions regarding real estate in the greater Atlanta area, feel free to contact me here.